The Warriors lost to the Miami Heat 114-102 Thursday, failing to cover as 6.5-point home favorites.
They have lost 2 straight games and are 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 5. Golden State is 14-16-1 ATS on the season. It is led by G Stephen Curry, who is averaging 27.4 points per game.
The Mavericks lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves 118-110 on the road Thursday, failing to cover as 12-point underdogs.
Dallas has lost 2 straight games and is 2-5 straight up over its last 7.
It is 3-4 ATS in that span. The Mavs are 17-15 ATS on the season.
They are led by G Luka Doncic, who is averaging 33.7 points per game.
With the jury still out on Doncic, this would be great value if he’s sat, so there’s potential for this to be a strong early play until his status is confirmed.
The spread suggests he’ll play. Regardless, the Mavs are 3-4 ATS in their last 7 games and have lost 5 of their last 7.
They have struggled immensely to defend, allowing 118 or more in 8 of their last 10 games.
Against an efficient Warriors offense, that could be difficult to overcome.
Golden State is 3-1-1 ATS over its last 5 home games and has been among the best home teams in the league over the last few seasons for bettors.
Expect it to come hot as it has lately.
The Mavericks may be 19-13 O/U this season, but with Irving out and Doncic questionable, their 2o options are either out or banged up.
Dallas has gone Under in 3 straight games and has gone Under in 6 of its last 7.
The Warriors are 17-14 O/U but have gone Under in 2 straight and in 4 of their last 6.
This total is too high, and neither team has consistently hit Over as of late.
